Nonparametric Counterfactual Predictions in Neoclassical Models of International Trade
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Counterfactual Predictions
The difficulties in properly anticipating key economic variables may encourage decision makers to rely on experts’ forecasts. The experts’ forecasts, however, may not be accurate. So, their forecasts must be empirically tested. This may induce experts to forecast strategically to pass the test. A test can be ignorantly passed if a false expert, with no knowledge of the data generating process, ...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: American Economic Review
سال: 2017
ISSN: 0002-8282
DOI: 10.1257/aer.20150956